Jake Sanderson

Ottawa Senators · D · #85

OTT @ BUF · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +4676 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
TonightDefense vs defensemen
BUF allow 0.21 goals a game to defensemen: 30th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 0.30, 22nd most
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 7; with him: 0 of 1 (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 3 of 14 (17 games as teammates)

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 6 on the road).

at CAR, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 43.1 min
vs CAR, 2026-04-23: 0, missed, 13.3 min
at TOR, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 4.5 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 22.6 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 26.2 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 22.4 min
at VGK, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 26.6 min
at LA, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 29.3 min
at SJ, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 22.8 min
at ANA, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 7 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Shane PintoC
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Sanderson didn't play the Apr 2 meeting; goals the last time Sanderson faced them: 0 (Dec 23, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 18%; at +467
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 23.5; 10 games · 25 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+4676 books	—	1/10
	+49516 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel1 min ago	+525Best	—
Bovada2 min ago	+475	—
DraftKings7 min ago	+475	—
Bally Bet2 min ago	+460	—
betPARX2 min ago	+460	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+460	—

Prices as of 10:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +550 → +467 since first seen

Jake Sanderson's full game log and splits