Jake Guentzel
DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 2.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 44 of 88 (101 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 45 of 91 (94 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 27th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 17.5, 27th most
Game log against Over 2.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Shots on Goal: 2 in 21.5 min, Apr 13 (home)
Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against DET on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −152
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 20.7
- 10 games · 20.4 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 57%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −25001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −4562 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1523 books | +1163 books | 4/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +1255 books | −1772 books | 3/10 | |
| +3502 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +7001 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | −145Best | +110 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −152 | +116 |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | −161 | +121Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5−153 → −152 since first seen