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Jake Guentzel

Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #59

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1486 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)

    Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 34 of 88 (101 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 37 of 91 (94 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    John Gibson (Expected)

    Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    DET allow 2.40 goals a game to forwards: 26th most of 32

    15 games · last 10 games: 2.40, 22nd most

Game log against Over 0.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

  1. vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 21.2 min
  2. at NYI, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 19.5 min
  3. at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 18.7 min
  4. vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 19.4 min
  5. vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 19.1 min
  6. at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 18.3 min
  7. at COL, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 22.2 min
  8. at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 19.5 min
  9. vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 22.9 min
  10. at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 25.9 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Count only

Over 0.5 · L10

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

  • Brandon HagelLW

  • Nikita KucherovRW

  • Brayden PointC

  • Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

  • Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Goals: 1 in 21.5 min, Apr 13 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
0.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
40%
at +148
Books’ fair
38%
margin removed
Time on ice
20.7
10 games · 20.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 38%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1486 books−1962 books5/10
+7505 books—2/10
+40005 books—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago+155Best—
Pinnacle8 min ago+150−203
Bally Bet8 min ago+148—
betPARX3 min ago+148—
BetRivers3 min ago+148—
FanDuel1 min ago+140−190Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +143 → +148 since first seen

Jake Guentzel's full game log and splits