Jake Guentzel

Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #59

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Points, typical price +1755 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 13; with him: 29 of 88 (101 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 31 of 91 (94 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 6.53 points a game to forwards: 14th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.60, 15th most

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Points cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 21.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 19.5 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 18.7 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 19.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 19.1 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 18.3 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 22.2 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 19.5 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 22.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 25.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTime on ice

Count only

Over 1.5 · L10

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Points: 1 in 21.5 min, Apr 13 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 36%; at +175
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 20.7; 10 games · 20.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2656 books	+1752 books	8/10
+1755 books	pick'em only	3/10
+5405 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel1 min ago	+186Best	—
DraftKings3 min ago	+180	—
Bally Bet3 min ago	+175	—
betPARX2 min ago	+175	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+175	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

+190 → +175 since first seen

Jake Guentzel's full game log and splits