Auston Matthews

Toronto Maple Leafs · C · #34

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1682 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
John Tavares: Out (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 50 of 74 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kirill Marchenko: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 8 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Max Domi: Injured Reserve (back)
Over 2.5 without him: 11 of 18; with him: 44 of 65 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Marshall Rifai: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 11 of 25; with him: 3 of 3 (28 games as teammates)

56%5 of 9L20 · Without Tavares

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of 9 games without John Tavares (his last 20 games).

at NYR, 2026-03-05: 4, cleared, 20.8 min (not counted)
vs TB, 2026-03-07: 6, cleared, 19.3 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-03-10: 2, missed, 22.5 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-03-12: 2, missed, 13.3 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-09-29: 3, cleared, 22.6 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-09-30: 1, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-10-03: 6, cleared, 21.8 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-06: 4, cleared, 25.2 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-08: 2, missed, 21.5 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-10: 5, cleared, 22.1 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-13: 4, cleared, 20.2 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 22.2 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 19.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-19: 3, cleared, 21 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 17.1 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 19.3 min
at EDM, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 17.2 min
at CGY, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 19 min
at SEA, 2026-10-28: 4, cleared, 20.1 min
at VAN, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

William NylanderRW
John TavaresCOut
Kirill MarchenkoRWInjured Reserve
Max DomiCInjured Reserve
Marshall RifaiDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Maple Leafs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Shots on Goal: 4 in 20.2 min, Oct 13 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Tavares · Over 2.5

Average: 2.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 56%; 5 of 9
Price implies: 63%; at −168
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.5; 9 games · 20.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 58%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Tavares

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−20001 book	—	9/9
−4251 book	—	7/9
−1682 books	+1242 books	5/9
+1272 books	−1751 book	3/9
+2751 book	—	1/9
+5501 book	—	0/9
+10001 book	—	0/9

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings2 hr ago	−165Best	+120
Pinnacle2 hr ago	−172	+128Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −156 → −168 since first seen

Auston Matthews's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.