Auston Matthews

Toronto Maple Leafs · C · #34

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with John Tavares playing; Tavares is out today. Without him: Over 0.5 in 6 of 9.

TodayTeammate out
John Tavares: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 28 of 74 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kirill Marchenko: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 8 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Max Domi: Injured Reserve (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 18; with him: 24 of 65 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Marshall Rifai: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 25; with him: 2 of 3 (28 games as teammates)

67%6 of 9L20 · Without Tavares

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 6 of 9 games without John Tavares (his last 20 games).

at NYR, 2026-03-05: 0, missed, 20.8 min (not counted)
vs TB, 2026-03-07: 0, missed, 19.3 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-03-10: 0, missed, 22.5 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-03-12: 1, cleared, 13.3 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-09-29: 0, missed, 22.6 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-09-30: 0, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-10-03: 1, cleared, 21.8 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-06: 1, cleared, 25.2 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 21.5 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 22.1 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 20.2 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 22.2 min (not counted)
vs NYI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 19.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-19: 1, cleared, 21 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 17.1 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 19.3 min
at EDM, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 17.2 min
at CGY, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 19 min
at SEA, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 20.1 min
at VAN, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

William NylanderRW
John TavaresCOut
Kirill MarchenkoRWInjured Reserve
Max DomiCInjured Reserve
Marshall RifaiDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Maple Leafs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Goals: 1 in 20.2 min, Oct 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Tavares · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 6 of 9
Price implies: 44%; at +125
Books’ fair: 42%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.5; 9 games · 20.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Tavares

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
+1253 books	−1671 book	6/9
+6552 books	—	1/9
+30062 books	—	0/9
+120001 book	—	0/9

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings5 hr ago	+130Best	—
Pinnacle5 hr ago	+125	−167Best
Bally Bet5 hr ago	+114	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +118 → +125 since first seen

Auston Matthews's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.