Auston Matthews
UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 points.
Count only
Under 1.5 · L10Matchup · 15 games
UTAH allow 6.47 points a game to forwards: 15th most of 32
Rest
2 days off since Oct 31 at VAN
Last vs UTAH
Points: 2 in 20.2 min, Oct 13 (away)
Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 68%
- at −210
- Books’ fair
- 63%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −170
Research, not a pick. At −210 the price is worse than our fair −170, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3154 books | pick'em only | 2/10 | |
| +1494 books | −2101 book | 6/10 | |
| +4684 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings12 min ago | +155 | −210Best |
| betPARX2 min ago | +143 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +143 | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +162Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:46 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.