Alexis Lafreniere

New York Rangers · LW · #13

PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1462 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 2, cleared, 19.3 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 19.4 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 16.2 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 22.9 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 17 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 19.1 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 18.7 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 17.8 min
vs STL, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 15.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar (Expected)
Saves: 256 of 288 (.889) over his last 10 games · 6 of PHI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 6.76 points a game to forwards: 11th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 20th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.8 min · 2026–27: 18.7 (16 games)
Power play: 1.7 min last 5 · 3.1 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs STL

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Mika ZibanejadC
J.T. MillerLW

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Points: 2 in 17.4 min, Mar 9 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −146
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1462 books	+1001 book	7/10
+3502 books	—	3/10
+13002 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 min ago	−135Best	+100Best
FanDuel2 min ago	−146	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−150 → −146 since first seen

Alexis Lafreniere's full game log and splits