Alexis Lafreniere

New York Rangers · LW · #13

PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2357 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 19.3 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 19.4 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 16.2 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 22.9 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 2, missed, 17 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 19.1 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 18.7 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 18.5 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 17.8 min
vs STL, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 15.1 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Joseph Woll (Confirmed)
Saves: 255 of 287 (.889) over his last 10 games · 4 of PHI's last 10 starts · Dan Vladar started 6
Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Under 0.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 8 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 4.12 assists a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 3.60, 17th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.8 min · 2026–27: 18.7 (16 games)
Power play: 1.7 min last 5 · 3.1 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 8 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Mika ZibanejadC
J.T. MillerLW
Sean DurziDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Assists: 1 in 17.4 min, Mar 9 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against PHI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 70%; at −235
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −182

Research, not a pick. At −216 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −182, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1597 books	−2352 books	6/10
	+10003 books	—	9/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle6 min ago	+159	−216Best
DraftKings6 min ago	+170Best	−235
Bally Bet6 min ago	+140	—
betPARX1 min ago	+140	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+140	—
Bovada6 min ago	+164	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+164	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:18 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Alexis Lafreniere's full game log and splits