T.J. Hockenson
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightTargets
Last 3: 3.7 targets · 2026: 5.3 (7 games) · down 30%
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 19% over 7 games this season
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 4.5 with Murray at quarterback: 1 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 14 of 35
Defense vs tight ends
BUF allow 6.1 receptions a game to tight ends: 9th most of 32
7 games
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Game log against Over 4.5
10%1 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Receptions cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 3.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 10%
- 1 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 4.6
- 10 games · 4.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 1/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:17 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.