T.J. Hockenson
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 42.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightTargets
Last 3: 3.7 targets · 2026: 5.3 (7 games) · down 30%
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 19% over 7 games this season
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 42.5 with Murray at quarterback: 2 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 17 of 35
Defense vs tight ends
BUF allow 70.6 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 4th most of 32
7 games
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Game log against Over 42.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 42.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Count only
Over 42.5 · L10L10 · Over 42.5
- Average
- 37.5
- −5 vs line
- Median
- 32
- −10.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 4.6
- 10 games · 4.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 42.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 42.5 | Under 42.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
42.541.5 → 42.5 since we started recording it