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Sione Vaki

Detroit Lions · RB · #33

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder21.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

Game log against Over 21.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 21.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs JAX, 2024-11-17: 9, missed, 5 carries + targets
  2. at CHI, 2024-12-22: 20, missed, 2 carries + targets
  3. at WSH, 2025-11-09: 4, missed, 1 carries + targets
  4. vs NO, 2026-09-13: 18, missed, 3 carries + targets
  5. at BUF, 2026-09-17: 20, missed, 2 carries + targets
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-09-27: 37, cleared, 7 carries + targets
  7. at CAR, 2026-10-04: 17, missed, 2 carries + targets
  8. at ARI, 2026-10-11: 11, missed, 6 carries + targets
  9. vs GB, 2026-10-25: 5, missed, 1 carries + targets
  10. vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 70, cleared, 12 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 21.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunCarries + targets

    Last 3: 6.3 carries + targets · 2026: 4.7 (7 games) · up 34%

    Target share: 4% last 1 game · 3% over 5 games this season

  • Defense vs running backs

    MIA allow 146.4 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 4th most of 32

    7 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN

  • Game lines

    DET −7 · total 50 (7 sportsbooks)

    DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 21.5

Average
21.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
17.5
−4 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
4.1
10 games · 1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only2/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 21.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 21.5Under 21.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

26.5 → 21.5 since we started recording it

Sione Vaki's full game log and splits