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Sione Vaki

Detroit Lions · RB · #33

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder5.5
Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1083 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 5.5

33%3 of 9L9

Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 3 of his last 9 games (1 of 4 on the road).

  1. at DAL, 2024-10-13: 1, missed, 1 carries
  2. vs JAX, 2024-11-17: 5, missed, 5 carries
  3. at WSH, 2025-11-09: 1, missed, 1 carries
  4. vs NO, 2026-09-13: 2, missed, 2 carries
  5. at BUF, 2026-09-17: 1, missed, 1 carries
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-09-27: 6, cleared, 6 carries
  7. at ARI, 2026-10-11: 6, cleared, 6 carries
  8. vs GB, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 1 carries
  9. vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 11, cleared, 11 carries
ClearedMissedThe 5.5 lineCarries

What's different on Sunday

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunCarries

    Last 3: 6 carries · 2026: 4.5 (6 games) · up 33%

  • Defense vs running backs

    MIA allow 24.7 carries a game to running backs: 5th most of 32

    7 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN

  • Game lines

    DET −7 · total 50.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 5.5 · L9 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L9 · Over 5.5

Average
3.8
−1.7 vs line
Median
2
−3.5 vs line
Hit rate
33%
3 of 9
Price implies
52%
at −108
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Carries
3.8
9 games · 1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L9
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL9
−5303 books—4/9
−1083 books−1211 book3/9
+3203 books—1/9
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 5.5Under 5.5
Bally Bet7 min ago−108Best—
betPARX7 min ago−108Best−121Best
BetRivers7 min ago−108Best—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

4.5 → 5.5 since first seen

Sione Vaki's full game log and splits