Sam Darnold

Seattle Seahawks · QB · #14

ARI @ SEA · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
ARI allow 19.6 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 10th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 2 carries · 2026: 1.8 (6 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 vs CHI
Game lines
SEA −11.5 · total 41.5 (6 sportsbooks)
SEA's games this season closed at 43.3 on average (8 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at CAR, 2025-12-28: 2, missed, 3 carries
at SF, 2026-01-03: 9, cleared, 6 carries
vs LAR, 2026-01-25: 9, cleared, 3 carries
at NE, 2026-02-08: 5, missed, 2 carries
at WSH, 2026-09-27: 5, missed, 1 carries
vs LAC, 2026-10-04: 6, cleared, 3 carries
vs SF, 2026-10-11: 5, missed, 1 carries
at DEN, 2026-10-15: 19, cleared, 2 carries
vs KC, 2026-10-25: 17, cleared, 2 carries
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 20, cleared, 2 carries

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ARI in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against ARI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ARI

Darnold didn't play the Sep 20 meeting; rushing yards the last time Darnold faced them: -2 (Nov 9, 2025)

Over 5.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ARI on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 9.7; +4.2 vs line
Median: 7.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Carries: 2.5; 10 games · 2.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1381 book	pick'em only	9/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	6/10
+1641 book	—	3/10
+3001 book	—	3/10
+5201 book	—	1/10
+7501 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

No move since first seen