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Roschon Johnson

Chicago Bears · RB · #23

TB @ CHI · Tomorrow 8:20 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

100%10 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 10 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).

  1. vs JAX, 2024-10-13: 25, cleared, 3 targets
  2. at ARI, 2024-11-03: 8, cleared, 3 targets
  3. vs NE, 2024-11-10: 5, cleared, 2 targets
  4. vs GB, 2024-11-17: 8, cleared, 1 targets
  5. vs MIN, 2024-11-24: 10, cleared, 1 targets
  6. at GB, 2025-01-05: 16, cleared, 5 targets
  7. vs NYJ, 2026-10-04: 7, cleared, 1 targets
  8. at GB, 2026-10-11: 34, cleared, 7 targets
  9. at ATL, 2026-10-18: 34, cleared, 2 targets
  10. at SEA, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 1 targets
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

What's different tomorrow

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 3.5 with Williams at quarterback: 9 of 9; with another CHI quarterback: 7 of 7

  • Defense vs running backs

    TB allow 32.8 receiving yards a game to running backs: 15th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 3.3 targets · 2026: 2.8 (4 games)

    Target share: 9% last 3 games · 8% over 4 games this season

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
15.8
+12.3 vs line
Median
10.5
+7 vs line
Hit rate
100%
10 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
2.6
10 games · 2.9 in 2024

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
——10/10
−1141 book−1141 book10/10
pick'em onlypick'em only10/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
FanDuel4 min ago−114Best−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

No move since first seen

Roschon Johnson's full game log and splits