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Roschon Johnson

Chicago Bears · RB · #23

TB @ CHI · Tomorrow 8:20 PM
OverUnder24.5
Over 24.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1101 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 24.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 24.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 at home).

  1. vs DET, 2024-12-22: 3, missed, 1 carries + targets
  2. vs SEA, 2024-12-26: 5, missed, 4 carries + targets
  3. at GB, 2025-01-05: 19, missed, 7 carries + targets
  4. at WSH, 2025-10-13: 6, missed, 1 carries + targets
  5. vs NO, 2025-10-19: 11, missed, 1 carries + targets
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-10-04: 23, missed, 5 carries + targets
  7. at GB, 2026-10-11: 40, cleared, 12 carries + targets
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-18: 85, cleared, 15 carries + targets
  9. vs NE, 2026-10-22: 13, missed, 2 carries + targets
  10. at SEA, 2026-11-02: 28, cleared, 6 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 24.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different tomorrow

Over 24.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TomorrowDefense vs running backs

    TB allow 100.5 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 30th most of 32

    8 games

  • Quarterback

    Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 24.5 with Williams at quarterback: 7 of 17; with another CHI quarterback: 7 of 10

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 7.7 carries + targets · 2026: 8 (5 games)

    Target share: 4% last 2 games · 8% over 4 games this season

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

Splits

Over 24.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 24.5

Average
23.3
−1.2 vs line
Median
16
−8.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
52%
at −110
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Carries + targets
5.4
10 games · 1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 24.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
——3/10
−1101 book−1181 book3/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 24.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 24.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 24.5Under 24.5
FanDuel5 min ago−110Best−118Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:20 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

24.5

No move since first seen

Roschon Johnson's full game log and splits