Roschon Johnson
TB @ CHI · Tomorrow 8:20 PMGame log against Over 16.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 at home).
What's different tomorrow
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTomorrowDefense vs running backs
TB allow 67.8 rushing yards a game to running backs: the fewest of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 16.5 with Williams at quarterback: 6 of 17; with another CHI quarterback: 7 of 10
Carries
Last 3: 6.7 carries · 2026: 5.8 (5 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 13.1
- −3.4 vs line
- Median
- 8.5
- −8 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 3.8
- 10 games · 1 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2751 book | — | 5/10 | |
| −1441 book | — | 3/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| −1202 books | −1142 books | 2/10 | |
| +1201 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +1821 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +2701 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| Bovada6 min ago | −120 | −110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5−114 → −120 since first seen


