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Roschon Johnson

Chicago Bears · RB · #23

TB @ CHI · Tomorrow 8:20 PM
OverUnder16.5
Over 16.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 16.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 at home).

  1. vs DET, 2024-12-22: 3, missed, 1 carries
  2. vs SEA, 2024-12-26: 5, missed, 4 carries
  3. at GB, 2025-01-05: 3, missed, 2 carries
  4. at WSH, 2025-10-13: 6, missed, 1 carries
  5. vs NO, 2025-10-19: 11, missed, 1 carries
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-10-04: 16, missed, 4 carries
  7. at GB, 2026-10-11: 6, missed, 5 carries
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-18: 51, cleared, 13 carries
  9. vs NE, 2026-10-22: 13, missed, 2 carries
  10. at SEA, 2026-11-02: 17, cleared, 5 carries
ClearedMissedThe 16.5 lineCarries

What's different tomorrow

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TomorrowDefense vs running backs

    TB allow 67.8 rushing yards a game to running backs: the fewest of 32

    8 games

  • Quarterback

    Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 16.5 with Williams at quarterback: 6 of 17; with another CHI quarterback: 7 of 10

  • Carries

    Last 3: 6.7 carries · 2026: 5.8 (5 games)

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 16.5

Average
13.1
−3.4 vs line
Median
8.5
−8 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −120
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Carries
3.8
10 games · 1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2751 book—5/10
−1441 book—3/10
pick'em onlypick'em only3/10
−1202 books−1142 books2/10
+1201 book—1/10
+1821 book—1/10
+2701 book—1/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 16.5Under 16.5
FanDuel1 min ago−114Best−114
Bovada6 min ago−120−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

−114 → −120 since first seen

Roschon Johnson's full game log and splits