Nate Boerkircher
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Carries + targets
Last 3: 1.7 carries + targets · 2026: 1.5 (6 games)
Target share: 5% last 3 games · 5% over 6 games this season
Game lines
JAX −9.5 · total 40.5 (5 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.8 on average (7 games)
BAL injuries
Roquan Smith (LB, Questionable, 7.2 tackles); Jaylinn Hawkins (S, Questionable, 4.5 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)
Game log against Over 0.5
33%2 of 6L6
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 2 of his last 6 games (0 of 1 on the road).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L6 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L6 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 33%
- 2 of 6
- Price implies
- 14%
- at +600
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 1.5
- 6 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L6| Line | Over | Under | L6 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +6005 books | pick'em only | 2/6 | |
| +75005 books | — | 0/6 | |
| +175001 book | — | 0/6 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | +600Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | +600Best | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +600Best | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +500 | — |
| Bovada3 min ago | +460 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:51 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over +410 → +600 since first seen