Michael Penix Jr.
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
Game log against Over 4.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunDefense vs quarterbacks
CIN allow 28.0 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 2nd most of 32
7 games
SunCarries
Last 3: 3.7 carries · 2026: 2.8 (6 games) · up 32%
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at TB
Game lines
ATL +3 · total 52.5 (9 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 45.5 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 4.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −116
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 2.3
- 10 games · 2.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1163 books | −1143 books | 5/10 | |
| +1981 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +3601 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +6301 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +8801 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | −108Best | −120 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −116 | −114 |
| Bovada7 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5−108 → −116 since first seen