Michael Penix Jr.
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
What's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
CIN allow 1.14 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 26th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 30.3 attempts · 2026: 28 (6 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at TB
Game lines
ATL +3 · total 51.5 (8 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 45.5 on average (8 games)
Game log against Over 1.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Count only
Over 1.5 · L10L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +100
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 28.7
- 10 games · 30.7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6001 book | — | 8/10 | |
| +1004 books | −1483 books | 3/10 | |
| +3704 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +100Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | +100Best | −148 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +100Best | −148 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −102 | −130Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over +108 → +100 since first seen