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Michael Penix Jr.

Atlanta Falcons · QB · #9

CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
OverUnder31.5
Over 31.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1134 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 31.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    CIN allow 34.4 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 11th most of 32

    7 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 30.3 attempts · 2026: 28 (6 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at TB

  • Game lines

    ATL +3 · total 51.5 (9 sportsbooks)

    ATL's games this season closed at 45.5 on average (8 games)

Game log against Over 31.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 31.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. at SF, 2025-10-19: 38, cleared, 38 attempts
  2. at NE, 2025-11-02: 37, cleared, 37 attempts
  3. at IND, 2025-11-09: 28, missed, 28 attempts
  4. vs CAR, 2025-11-16: 16, missed, 16 attempts
  5. at GB, 2026-09-24: 25, missed, 25 attempts
  6. at NO, 2026-10-05: 20, missed, 20 attempts
  7. vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 32, cleared, 32 attempts
  8. vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 33, cleared, 33 attempts
  9. vs SF, 2026-10-25: 34, cleared, 34 attempts
  10. at TB, 2026-11-01: 24, missed, 24 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 31.5 linePass attempts

Count only

Over 31.5 · L10

L10 · Over 31.5

Average
28.7
−2.8 vs line
Median
30
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −113
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Pass attempts
28.7
10 games · 30.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 31.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−5603 books—6/10
−2953 books—6/10
−1803 books—5/10
−1134 books−1293 books5/10
+1353 books—3/10
+2003 books—2/10
+2903 books—1/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 31.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 31.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 31.5Under 31.5
Bally Bet8 min ago−113Best—
betPARX8 min ago−113Best−129
BetRivers8 min ago−113Best−129
Bovada7 min ago−120−110Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

31.5

Over −105 → −113 since first seen

Michael Penix Jr.'s full game log and splits