Kirk Cousins
LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Over 251.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 251.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 176.1–335.1 pass+rush yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 251.5 · facts from past games, not a pickNew team
8 games with LV; before that, ATL
Over 251.5 with LV: 4 of 8; his last 10 games before: 1 of 10
Pass attempts + carries
Last 3: 39.7 attempts + carries · 2026: 37.9 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ
Game lines
LV +9.5 · total 52 (6 sportsbooks)
LV's games this season closed at 46.5 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 251.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 251.5
- Average
- 243.8
- −7.7 vs line
- Median
- 250.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −104
Research, not a pick. At −115 the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 4/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook at 251.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 251.5 | Under 251.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada2 min ago | −115Best | −115Best |
Prices as of 5:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
251.5255.5 → 251.5 since first seen