Kirk Cousins
LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
What's different on Sunday
Under 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pickNew team
8 games with LV; before that, ATL
Under 22.5 with LV: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Defense vs quarterbacks
SF allow 23.7 completions a game to quarterbacks: 5th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 37 attempts · 2026: 35.4 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ
Game log against Under 22.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 22.5 Completions hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 15.4–28.2 completions.
Splits
Under 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 22.5
- Average
- 21.1
- −1.4 vs line
- Median
- 20
- −2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +100
- Books’ fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 52%
- estimate · fair −109
Research, not a pick. At +100 the price beats our fair −109, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4203 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1303 books | +1001 book | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 8/10 | |
| +1503 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 22.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 22.5 | Under 22.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX3 min ago | −130Best | +100Best |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −130Best | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −132 | — |
Prices as of 12:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
22.5Under No move since first seen