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Kirk Cousins

Las Vegas Raiders · QB · #8

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder255.5
Under 255.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 255.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 255.5 Pass+Rush Yards hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs LAR, 2025-12-29: 127, hit, 21 attempts + carries
  2. vs NO, 2026-01-04: 180, hit, 35 attempts + carries
  3. vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 154, hit, 35 attempts + carries
  4. at LAC, 2026-09-20: 254, hit, 33 attempts + carries
  5. at NO, 2026-09-27: 251, hit, 36 attempts + carries
  6. vs KC, 2026-10-04: 365, missed, 52 attempts + carries
  7. at NE, 2026-10-11: 243, hit, 28 attempts + carries
  8. vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 313, missed, 41 attempts + carries
  9. vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 301, missed, 47 attempts + carries
  10. at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 250, hit, 31 attempts + carries
Under hitMissedThe 255.5 linePass attempts + carries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 176.1–335.1 pass+rush yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 255.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • New team

    8 games with LV; before that, ATL

    Under 255.5 with LV: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10

  • Pass attempts + carries

    Last 3: 39.7 attempts + carries · 2026: 37.9 (8 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ

  • Game lines

    LV +10 · total 52.5 (9 sportsbooks)

    LV's games this season closed at 46.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 255.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 255.5

Average
243.8
−11.7 vs line
Median
250.5
−5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
52%
estimate · fair −108

Research, not a pick. At −115 the price is worse than our fair −108, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1151 book−1151 book7/10
pick'em onlypick'em only7/10
Compare 1 sportsbook at 255.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 255.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 255.5Under 255.5
Bovada3 min ago−115Best−115Best

Prices as of 11:26 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

255.5

No move since first seen

Kirk Cousins's full game log and splits