Justin Jefferson
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
10%1 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Targets cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
What's different on Monday
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 9.5 with Murray at quarterback: 0 of 4; with another MIN quarterback: 14 of 42
Defense vs wide receivers
BUF allow 19.7 targets a game to wide receivers: 8th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 7.7 targets · 2026: 6.7 (6 games)
Target share: 28% last 3 games · 26% over 6 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Splits
Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 7.2
- −2.3 vs line
- Median
- 7.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 10%
- 1 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 7.2
- 10 games · 8.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 1/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:14 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.