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Justin Jefferson

Minnesota Vikings · WR · #18

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder72.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 72.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season

    Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 72.5 with Murray at quarterback: 1 of 4; with another MIN quarterback: 25 of 42

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    BUF allow 154.0 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 9th most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 7.7 targets · 2026: 6.7 (6 games)

    Target share: 28% last 3 games · 26% over 6 games this season

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 at DET

Game log against Over 72.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 72.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. at DAL, 2025-12-14: 22, missed, 8 targets
  2. at NYG, 2025-12-21: 85, cleared, 8 targets
  3. vs DET, 2025-12-25: 30, missed, 5 targets
  4. vs GB, 2026-01-04: 101, cleared, 11 targets
  5. vs GB, 2026-09-13: 92, cleared, 9 targets
  6. at CHI, 2026-09-20: 55, missed, 6 targets
  7. at TB, 2026-09-27: 32, missed, 2 targets
  8. at NO, 2026-10-11: 79, cleared, 7 targets
  9. vs IND, 2026-10-25: 44, missed, 7 targets
  10. at DET, 2026-11-01: 33, missed, 9 targets
ClearedMissedThe 72.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 72.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 72.5

Average
57.3
−15.2 vs line
Median
49.5
−23 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
7.2
10 games · 8.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only4/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 72.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 72.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 72.5Under 72.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:51 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

72.5

71.5 → 72.5 since we started recording it

Justin Jefferson's full game log and splits