Justin Jefferson
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 79.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 79.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
What's different on Monday
Over 79.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 79.5 with Murray at quarterback: 0 of 4; with another MIN quarterback: 21 of 42
Defense vs wide receivers
BUF allow 154.0 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 9th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 7.7 targets · 2026: 6.7 (6 games)
Target share: 28% last 3 games · 26% over 6 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Splits
Over 79.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 79.5
- Average
- 57.3
- −22.2 vs line
- Median
- 49.5
- −30 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +100
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 7.2
- 10 games · 8.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1144 books | −1143 books | 4/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 4/10 | |
| +1004 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 3/10 | |
| +1454 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +2104 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 79.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 79.5 | Under 79.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +100Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | +100Best | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +100Best | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −102 | — |
Prices as of 2:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
79.568.5 → 79.5 since first seen