Justin HerbertQuestionable

Los Angeles Chargers · QB · #10

LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1303 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs HOU, 2025-12-27: 6, cleared, 6 carries
at NE, 2026-01-11: 10, cleared, 10 carries
vs ARI, 2026-09-13: 5, cleared, 5 carries
vs LV, 2026-09-20: 3, missed, 3 carries
at BUF, 2026-09-27: 4, missed, 4 carries
at SEA, 2026-10-04: 6, cleared, 6 carries
vs DEN, 2026-10-11: 6, cleared, 6 carries
at KC, 2026-10-18: 5, cleared, 5 carries
at LAR, 2026-11-01: 4, missed, 4 carries
vs HOU, 2026-11-08: 1, missed, 1 carries

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineCarries

What's different on Monday

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Carries
Last 3: 3.3 carries · 2026: 4.3 (8 games)
Rest
7 days off since Nov 8 vs HOU
Game lines
LAC +4 · total 38.5 (5 sportsbooks)
LAC's games this season closed at 44.4 on average (8 games)
BAL injuries
Kyle Hamilton (S, Questionable, 6.9 tackles); Jaylinn Hawkins (S, Questionable, 4.5 tackles); Nate Wiggins (CB, Questionable, 3.9 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BAL in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BAL

Rushing Attempts: 4 in 4 carries, Nov 25, 2024 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against BAL on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5; +0.5 vs line
Median: 5; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Carries: 5; 10 games · 5.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2783 books	—	8/10
−1303 books	+1001 book	6/10
+1453 books	—	4/10
+4303 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−130Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	−130Best	+100Best
BetRivers6 min ago	−132	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:27 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: −134 → −130 since first seen