Justice HillQuestionable

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #43

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Receptions, typical price +1086 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Over 2.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 14 of 35; with another BAL quarterback: 5 of 7
TonightTargets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 3.6 (7 games) · up 39%
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 12% over 7 games this season
TonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Defense vs running backs
JAX allow 5.3 receptions a game to running backs: 6th most of 32
7 games

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs LAR, 2025-10-12: 5, cleared, 6 targets
at MIA, 2025-10-30: 2, missed, 2 targets
at MIN, 2025-11-09: 1, missed, 2 targets
at IND, 2026-09-13: 1, missed, 1 targets
vs NO, 2026-09-20: 2, missed, 2 targets
vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 3 targets
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 4 targets
at CLE, 2026-10-18: 3, cleared, 3 targets
vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 4 targets
at BUF, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 8 targets

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Receptions: 0 in 1 targets, Dec 17, 2023 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +108
Books’ fair: 44%; margin removed
Targets: 3.5; 10 games · 3.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 44%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20004 books	—	10/10
−2864 books	—	8/10
+1086 books	−1454 books	4/10
+2554 books	—	2/10
+6004 books	—	1/10
+8801 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	+116Best	−154
Bovada4 min ago	+110	−145
FanDuel2 min ago	+110	−146
Bally Bet4 min ago	+107	—
betPARX4 min ago	+107	−139Best
BetRivers4 min ago	+105	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:51 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +118 → +108 since first seen