Justice Hill

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #43

JAX @ BAL · Today 8:15 PM

Over Under15.5

Over 15.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1123 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 15.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs LAR, 2025-10-12: 28, cleared, 6 targets
at MIA, 2025-10-30: 13, missed, 2 targets
at MIN, 2025-11-09: 12, missed, 2 targets
at IND, 2026-09-13: 10, missed, 1 targets
vs NO, 2026-09-20: 12, missed, 2 targets
vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 22, cleared, 3 targets
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 5, missed, 4 targets
at CLE, 2026-10-18: 9, missed, 3 targets
vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 26, cleared, 4 targets
at BUF, 2026-11-01: 20, cleared, 8 targets

ClearedMissedThe 15.5 lineTargets

What's different today

Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTargets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 3.6 (7 games) · up 39%
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 12% over 7 games this season
TodayRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Out, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 15.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 14 of 34; with another BAL quarterback: 4 of 7
Defense vs running backs
JAX allow 36.3 receiving yards a game to running backs: 10th most of 32
7 games

Splits

Over 15.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 15.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Receiving Yards: 0 in 1 targets, Dec 17, 2023 (away)

Over 15.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 15.5

Average: 15.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 12.5; −3 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Targets: 3.5; 10 games · 3.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 15.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4501 book	—	10/10
−2254 books	—	8/10
−1132 books	−1132 books	4/10
−1123 books	−1182 books	4/10
−1201 book	−1101 book	4/10
+1304 books	—	4/10
+2001 book	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 15.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 15.5	Under 15.5
Bally Bet8 min ago	−112Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−112Best	−117Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−113	−118
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

13.5 → 15.5 since first seen