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Jordan Love

Green Bay Packers · QB · #10

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder38.5
Under 38.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1185 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 38.5

40%4 of 10L10

Under 38.5 Passing Attempts hit in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

  1. at CHI, 2025-12-20: 13, hit, 13 attempts
  2. at CHI, 2026-01-10: 46, missed, 46 attempts
  3. at MIN, 2026-09-13: 42, missed, 42 attempts
  4. at NYJ, 2026-09-20: 29, hit, 29 attempts
  5. vs ATL, 2026-09-24: 53, missed, 53 attempts
  6. at TB, 2026-10-04: 30, hit, 30 attempts
  7. vs CHI, 2026-10-11: 31, hit, 31 attempts
  8. vs DAL, 2026-10-18: 41, missed, 41 attempts
  9. at DET, 2026-10-25: 45, missed, 45 attempts
  10. vs CAR, 2026-10-29: 41, missed, 41 attempts
Under hitMissedThe 38.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 25.6–47.2 passing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 38.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    NE allow 32.1 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 21st most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 42.3 attempts · 2026: 39 (8 games)

  • Rest

    9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR

  • Game lines

    GB +3 · total 45.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    GB's games this season closed at 47.1 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 38.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 38.5

Average
37.1
−1.4 vs line
Median
41
+2.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
54%
at −118
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Our chance
51%
estimate · fair −102

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −102, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4353 books—4/10
−2453 books—4/10
−1433 books—4/10
−1125 books−1184 books4/10
+1153 books—4/10
+1803 books—6/10
+2753 books—7/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 38.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 38.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 38.5Under 38.5
Bovada4 min ago−115−115Best
betPARX3 min ago−112−117
BetRivers4 min ago−113−118
Pinnacle4 min ago−102Best−130
Bally Bet4 min ago−112—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

38.5

37.5 → 38.5 since first seen

Jordan Love's full game log and splits