Jordan Love

Green Bay Packers · QB · #10

MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under262.5

Over 262.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 262.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at CHI, 2026-01-10: 334, cleared, 47 attempts + carries
at MIN, 2026-09-13: 387, cleared, 43 attempts + carries
at NYJ, 2026-09-20: 145, missed, 29 attempts + carries
vs ATL, 2026-09-24: 312, cleared, 54 attempts + carries
at TB, 2026-10-04: 189, missed, 34 attempts + carries
vs CHI, 2026-10-11: 373, cleared, 32 attempts + carries
vs DAL, 2026-10-18: 288, cleared, 45 attempts + carries
at DET, 2026-10-25: 274, cleared, 45 attempts + carries
vs CAR, 2026-10-29: 288, cleared, 41 attempts + carries
at NE, 2026-11-08: 385, cleared, 30 attempts + carries

ClearedMissedThe 262.5 linePass attempts + carries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 175–391.7 pass+rush yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 262.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Pass attempts + carries
Last 3: 38.7 attempts + carries · 2026: 39.2 (9 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at NE
Game lines
GB −3 · total 42 (8 sportsbooks)
GB's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (9 games)
MIN injuries
Blake Cashman (LB, Questionable, 10 tackles); Theo Jackson (S, Questionable, 3.6 tackles); Jay Ward (S, Questionable, 2.7 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Splits

Over 262.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs MIN

Pass+Rush Yards: 387 in 43 attempts + carries, Sep 13 (away)

Over 262.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 262.5

Average: 297.5; +35 vs line
Median: 300; +37.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −144

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −144, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1573 books	—	8/10
—	—	8/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	8/10
−1143 books	−1152 books	8/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	8/10
+1173 books	—	7/10
+2053 books	—	5/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 262.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 262.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 262.5	Under 262.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−114Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−115	−115

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

262.5

264.5 → 262.5 since first seen