Jordan Love

Green Bay Packers · QB · #10

MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under22.5

Over 22.5 Completions, typical price −1134 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 22.5 Completions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at CHI, 2026-01-10: 24, cleared, 46 attempts
at MIN, 2026-09-13: 21, missed, 42 attempts
at NYJ, 2026-09-20: 16, missed, 29 attempts
vs ATL, 2026-09-24: 28, cleared, 53 attempts
at TB, 2026-10-04: 22, missed, 30 attempts
vs CHI, 2026-10-11: 25, cleared, 31 attempts
vs DAL, 2026-10-18: 23, cleared, 41 attempts
at DET, 2026-10-25: 27, cleared, 45 attempts
vs CAR, 2026-10-29: 30, cleared, 41 attempts
at NE, 2026-11-08: 23, cleared, 29 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 22.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 17.3–30.1 completions.

What's different on Sunday

Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs quarterbacks
MIN allow 16.9 completions a game to quarterbacks: the fewest of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 38.3 attempts · 2026: 37.9 (9 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at NE
Game lines
GB −3 · total 42 (8 sportsbooks)
GB's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs MIN

Completions: 21 in 42 attempts, Sep 13 (away)

Over 22.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 22.5

Average: 23.9; +1.4 vs line
Median: 23.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −113
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4003 books	—	9/10
−1573 books	—	8/10
−1134 books	−1172 books	7/10
+1253 books	—	5/10
+2203 books	—	3/10
+4003 books	—	2/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Completions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−112Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−112Best	−117
BetRivers4 min ago	−113	—
Bovada4 min ago	−115	−115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

−115 → −113 since first seen