Jonathan Taylor

Indianapolis Colts · RB · #28

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under62.5

Over 62.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 62.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

vs JAX, 2025-12-28: 70, cleared, 21 carries
at HOU, 2026-01-04: 26, missed, 14 carries
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 98, cleared, 19 carries
at KC, 2026-09-20: 92, cleared, 24 carries
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 68, cleared, 23 carries
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 95, cleared, 20 carries
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 45, missed, 15 carries
vs TEN, 2026-10-18: 94, cleared, 21 carries
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 95, cleared, 18 carries
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 23, missed, 8 carries

ClearedMissedThe 62.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 29.5–102.2 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 62.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Daniel Jones led IND in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 62.5 with Jones at quarterback: 16 of 20; with another IND quarterback: 17 of 25
Defense vs running backs
DAL allow 115.5 rushing yards a game to running backs: 6th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 15.7 carries · 2026: 18.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at JAX

Splits

Over 62.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 62.5

Average: 70.6; +8.1 vs line
Median: 81; +18.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −126

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −126, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2101 book	—	7/10
−1321 book	—	7/10
—	—	7/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	7/10
+1141 book	—	6/10
+1641 book	—	5/10
+2201 book	—	5/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 62.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 62.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 62.5	Under 62.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

62.5

65.5 → 62.5 since first seen