Jonathan Taylor

Indianapolis Colts · RB · #28

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under13.5

Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1223 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

vs JAX, 2025-12-28: 21, cleared, 21 carries
at HOU, 2026-01-04: 14, cleared, 14 carries
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 19, cleared, 19 carries
at KC, 2026-09-20: 24, cleared, 24 carries
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 23, cleared, 23 carries
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 20, cleared, 20 carries
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 15, cleared, 15 carries
vs TEN, 2026-10-18: 21, cleared, 21 carries
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 18, cleared, 18 carries
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 8, missed, 8 carries

ClearedMissedThe 13.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 9.1–22.2 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Daniel Jones led IND in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 13.5 with Jones at quarterback: 18 of 20; with another IND quarterback: 21 of 24
Defense vs running backs
DAL allow 24.3 carries a game to running backs: 9th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 15.7 carries · 2026: 18.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at JAX

Splits

Over 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 13.5

Average: 18.3; +4.8 vs line
Median: 19.5; +6 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −157, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−25003 books	—	10/10
−7153 books	—	9/10
−2653 books	—	9/10
−1223 books	−1181 book	9/10
−1221 book	−1081 book	8/10
+1603 books	—	7/10
+2903 books	—	7/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 13.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 13.5	Under 13.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−122Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−122Best	−118Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−122Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:47 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

13.5

14.5 → 13.5 since first seen