Jonathan Taylor

Indianapolis Colts · RB · #28

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under59.5

Over 59.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1324 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 59.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

vs JAX, 2025-12-28: 70, cleared, 21 carries
at HOU, 2026-01-04: 26, missed, 14 carries
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 98, cleared, 19 carries
at KC, 2026-09-20: 92, cleared, 24 carries
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 68, cleared, 23 carries
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 95, cleared, 20 carries
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 45, missed, 15 carries
vs TEN, 2026-10-18: 94, cleared, 21 carries
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 95, cleared, 18 carries
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 23, missed, 8 carries

ClearedMissedThe 59.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 29.5–102.2 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 59.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Daniel Jones led IND in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 59.5 with Jones at quarterback: 16 of 20; with another IND quarterback: 17 of 24
Defense vs running backs
DAL allow 115.5 rushing yards a game to running backs: 6th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 15.7 carries · 2026: 18.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at JAX

Splits

Over 59.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 59.5

Average: 70.6; +11.1 vs line
Median: 81; +21.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −132
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −132 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6501 book	—	8/10
−3401 book	—	8/10
−2354 books	—	7/10
−1324 books	−1092 books	7/10
—	—	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	7/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 59.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 59.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 59.5	Under 59.5
Bally Bet11 min ago	−132Best	—
betPARX11 min ago	−132Best	−109Best
BetRivers11 min ago	−132Best	−109Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−132Best	—

Prices as of 4:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

59.5

65.5 → 59.5 since first seen