Jared GoffQuestionable

Detroit Lions · QB · #16

NE @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 9:30 AM

Over Under34.5

Under 34.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1064 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 34.5 Passing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2025-12-25: 29, hit, 29 attempts
at CHI, 2026-01-04: 42, missed, 42 attempts
vs NO, 2026-09-13: 39, missed, 39 attempts
at BUF, 2026-09-17: 38, missed, 38 attempts
vs NYJ, 2026-09-27: 32, hit, 32 attempts
at CAR, 2026-10-04: 52, missed, 52 attempts
at ARI, 2026-10-11: 30, hit, 30 attempts
vs GB, 2026-10-25: 32, hit, 32 attempts
vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 25, hit, 25 attempts
at MIA, 2026-11-08: 25, hit, 25 attempts

Under hitMissedThe 34.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 22.2–45 passing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 34.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
NE allow 31.8 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 22nd most of 32
9 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 27.3 attempts · 2026: 34.1 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at MIA
Game lines
DET −2.5 · total 50.5 (7 sportsbooks)
DET's games this season closed at 51.6 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 34.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 34.5

Average: 34.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 32; −2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −115

Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −115, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4803 books	—	3/10
−2863 books	—	4/10
−1753 books	—	6/10
−1374 books	−1063 books	6/10
−1104 books	−1411 book	6/10
+1383 books	—	6/10
+2003 books	—	8/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 34.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 34.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 34.5	Under 34.5
Bovada3 min ago	−125Best	−105Best
betPARX3 min ago	−137	−106
BetRivers3 min ago	−137	−106
Bally Bet3 min ago	−137	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

34.5

−110 → −106 since first seen