Emmett Johnson
KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
83%5 of 6L6
Over 9.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 6 games (2 of 2 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Questionable. He led KC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 9.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 5 of 6; with another KC quarterback: no games
Defense vs running backs
ATL allow 109.1 rushing yards a game to running backs: 8th most of 32
9 games
Carries
Last 3: 3.3 carries · 2026: 4.3 (6 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs NYJ
Splits
Over 9.5 · L6 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L6 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 18.5
- +9 vs line
- Median
- 16
- +6.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 83%
- 5 of 6
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 4.3
- 6 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 9.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L6| Line | Over | Under | L6 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2801 book | — | 6/6 | |
| −1106 books | −1205 books | 5/6 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/6 | |
| +1721 book | — | 5/6 | |
| +3204 books | — | 2/6 | |
| +4101 book | — | 1/6 | |
| +6301 book | — | 1/6 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet10 min ago | −106Best | — |
| betPARX10 min ago | −106Best | −122 |
| BetRivers10 min ago | −107 | −124 |
| Bovada10 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| FanDuel10 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Pinnacle10 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5Over: −114 → −110 since first seen