Emmett Johnson
KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
83%5 of 6L6
Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 6 games (2 of 3 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunTargets
Last 3: 3.7 targets · 2026: 2.7 (6 games) · up 37%
Target share: 11% last 3 games · 8% over 6 games this season
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Questionable. He led KC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 1.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 5 of 6; with another KC quarterback: no games
Defense vs running backs
ATL allow 5.1 receptions a game to running backs: 5th most of 32
9 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs NYJ
Johnson sat the last game (Nov 8)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L6 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L6 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 83%
- 5 of 6
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −155
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.7
- 6 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 57%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L6| Line | Over | Under | L6 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8354 books | — | 6/6 | |
| −1556 books | +1184 books | 5/6 | |
| +1954 books | — | 1/6 | |
| +5104 books | — | 1/6 | |
| +13004 books | — | 1/6 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | −148Best | +112 |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −155 | — |
| betPARX8 min ago | −155 | +118 |
| BetRivers8 min ago | −155 | — |
| Pinnacle8 min ago | −160 | +120 |
| Bovada8 min ago | −170 | +130Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −162 → −155 since first seen