Emmett Johnson
KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 12.5
83%5 of 6L6
Over 12.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 6 games (2 of 3 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunTargets
Last 3: 3.7 targets · 2026: 2.7 (6 games) · up 37%
Target share: 11% last 3 games · 8% over 6 games this season
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Questionable. He led KC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 12.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 5 of 6; with another KC quarterback: no games
Defense vs running backs
ATL allow 32.2 receiving yards a game to running backs: 17th most of 32
9 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs NYJ
Johnson sat the last game (Nov 8)
Splits
Over 12.5 · L6 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L6 · Over 12.5
- Average
- 39.5
- +27 vs line
- Median
- 19
- +6.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 83%
- 5 of 6
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −109
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.7
- 6 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L6| Line | Over | Under | L6 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3101 book | — | 6/6 | |
| −1574 books | — | 6/6 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 5/6 | |
| −1093 books | −1212 books | 5/6 | |
| −1101 book | −1201 book | 5/6 | |
| +1221 book | — | 5/6 | |
| +1854 books | — | 3/6 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet9 min ago | −109Best | — |
| betPARX9 min ago | −109Best | −120Best |
| BetRivers9 min ago | −110 | −121 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.5−114 → −109 since first seen