Darren Waller

Carolina Panthers · TE · #88

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +2905 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs CIN, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs TB, 2025-12-28: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 2, cleared, 3 carries + targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 1, cleared, 10 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
8 games with CAR; before that, MIA
Over 0.5 with CAR: 3 of 8; his last 10 games before: 4 of 10
Carries + targets
Last 3: 4.7 carries + targets · 2026: 4.4 (8 games)
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 11% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN
Game lines
CAR +2 · total 48.5 (5 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.1 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Waller didn't play the Dec 14, 2025 meeting; total touchdowns the last time Waller faced them: 0 (Nov 30, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against NO on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 26%; at +290
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 4.3; 10 games · 4.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2905 books	pick'em only	3/10
	+20005 books	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel15 min ago	+340Best	—
Bovada16 min ago	+330	—
Bally Bet16 min ago	+290	—
betPARX16 min ago	+290	—
BetRivers16 min ago	+285	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +370 → +290 since first seen