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Darren Waller

Carolina Panthers · TE · #88

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +3905 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightCarries + targets

    Last 3: 2 carries + targets · 2026: 3.6 (7 games) · down 44%

    Target share: 5% last 3 games · 9% over 7 games this season

  • New team

    7 games with CAR; before that, MIA

    Over 0.5 with CAR: 2 of 7; his last 10 games before: 4 of 10

  • Rest

    9 days off since Oct 29 at GB

  • Game lines

    CAR +3 · total 44 (8 sportsbooks)

    CAR's games this season closed at 45.2 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 0.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

  1. at PIT, 2025-12-15: 2, cleared, 8 carries + targets
  2. vs CIN, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  3. vs TB, 2025-12-28: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
  4. vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  5. at ATL, 2026-09-20: 2, cleared, 3 carries + targets
  6. at CLE, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
  7. vs DET, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
  8. at PHI, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  9. vs TB, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets
  10. at GB, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.5
±0 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
20%
at +390
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
4.1
10 games · 4.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+3905 bookspick'em only3/10
+40005 books—2/10
+160003 books—0/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
FanDuel7 min ago+400Best—
Bally Bet7 min ago+390—
betPARX7 min ago+390—
BetRivers7 min ago+390—
Bovada7 min ago+390—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:32 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +410 → +390 since first seen

Darren Waller's full game log and splits