Darren Waller
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 18.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 18.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunTargets
Last 3: 2 targets · 2026: 3.6 (7 games) · down 44%
Target share: 5% last 3 games · 9% over 7 games this season
New team
7 games with CAR; before that, MIA
Over 18.5 with CAR: 5 of 7; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Defense vs tight ends
DEN allow 68.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 7th most of 32
8 games
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Splits
Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 18.5
- Average
- 31.5
- +13 vs line
- Median
- 34.5
- +16 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4.1
- 10 games · 4.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2504 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1661 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1152 books | 7/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1143 books | 7/10 | |
| +1044 books | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| +1341 book | — | 7/10 | |
| +2104 books | — | 6/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 18.5 | Under 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bovada6 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
18.5−120 → −114 since first seen