D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears · RB · #4

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM

Over Under66.5

Under 66.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1133 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 66.5 Rushing Yards hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs GB, 2026-01-10: 54, hit, 13 carries
vs LAR, 2026-01-18: 76, missed, 19 carries
at CAR, 2026-09-13: 124, missed, 18 carries
vs MIN, 2026-09-20: 45, hit, 16 carries
vs PHI, 2026-09-28: 84, missed, 20 carries
vs NYJ, 2026-10-04: 58, hit, 15 carries
at GB, 2026-10-11: 43, hit, 9 carries
at ATL, 2026-10-18: 44, hit, 16 carries
vs NE, 2026-10-22: 78, missed, 22 carries
at SEA, 2026-11-02: 69, missed, 27 carries

Under hitMissedThe 66.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 25.4–96.1 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 66.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs running backs
TB allow 67.8 rushing yards a game to running backs: 31st most of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Under 66.5 with Williams at quarterback: 24 of 40; with another CHI quarterback: 2 of 3
Carries
Last 3: 21.7 carries · 2026: 17.9 (8 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

Splits

Under 66.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB in his last 10; Under 66.5 hit in 1 of 1 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs TB

Rushing Yards: 34 in 10 carries, Jan 15, 2024 (away)

Under 66.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against TB on record

L10 · Under 66.5

Average: 67.5; +1 vs line
Median: 63.5; −3 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −113
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 52%; estimate · fair −108

Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −108, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3454 books	—	3/10
−1774 books	—	5/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	5/10
−1173 books	−1132 books	5/10
—	—	5/10
+1024 books	—	6/10
+1654 books	—	8/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 66.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 66.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 66.5	Under 66.5
betPARX8 min ago	−117Best	−112Best
BetRivers9 min ago	−117Best	−113
Bally Bet9 min ago	−117Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

66.5

65.5 → 66.5 since first seen