D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears · RB · #4

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM

Over Under21.5

Over 21.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 21.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

vs DET, 2026-01-04: 8, missed, 2 targets
vs GB, 2026-01-10: 38, cleared, 2 targets
at CAR, 2026-09-13: 10, missed, 1 targets
vs MIN, 2026-09-20: 54, cleared, 5 targets
vs PHI, 2026-09-28: 4, missed, 3 targets
vs NYJ, 2026-10-04: 16, missed, 2 targets
at GB, 2026-10-11: 30, cleared, 5 targets
at ATL, 2026-10-18: 26, cleared, 5 targets
vs NE, 2026-10-22: 12, missed, 4 targets
at SEA, 2026-11-02: 10, missed, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 21.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 21.5 with Williams at quarterback: 18 of 38; with another CHI quarterback: 1 of 3
Defense vs running backs
TB allow 32.8 receiving yards a game to running backs: 16th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 3.5 (8 games)
Target share: 12% last 3 games · 10% over 8 games this season
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

Splits

Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB in his last 10; Over 21.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs TB

Receiving Yards: 32 in 4 targets, Jan 15, 2024 (away)

Over 21.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against TB on record

L10 · Over 21.5

Average: 20.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 14; −7.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 3.2; 10 games · 2.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2251 book	—	5/10
−1554 books	—	4/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	4/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	4/10
−1183 books	−1122 books	4/10
+1141 book	—	4/10
+1484 books	—	3/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

No move since first seen