Chuba Hubbard

Carolina Panthers · RB · #30

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Receptions, typical price −1865 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at TB, 2026-01-03: 2, missed, 2 targets
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 2, missed, 4 targets
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 3 targets
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 2, missed, 2 targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 4, cleared, 4 targets
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 2 targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 1, missed, 2 targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 4, cleared, 5 targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 7, cleared, 8 targets
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 4, cleared, 5 targets

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–6 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunTargets
Last 3: 6 targets · 2026: 3.9 (8 games) · up 54%
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 10% over 8 games this season
Quarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 2.5 with Young at quarterback: 17 of 38; with another CAR quarterback: 4 of 5
Defense vs running backs
NO allow 4.6 receptions a game to running backs: 12th most of 32
8 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Receptions: 1 in 1 targets, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against NO on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3; +0.5 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −186
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −158

Research, not a pick. At −151 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −158, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5904 books	—	8/10
−1865 books	+1163 books	5/10
+1254 books	—	4/10
+2504 books	—	1/10
+4754 books	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle16 min ago	−151Best	+113
FanDuel15 min ago	−154	+116
Bally Bet16 min ago	−186	—
betPARX16 min ago	−186	+125Best
BetRivers16 min ago	−186	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

−154 → −186 since first seen