Chuba Hubbard

Carolina Panthers · RB · #30

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under100.5

Under 100.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1203 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 100.5 Rush+Rec Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at TB, 2026-01-03: 17, hit, 7 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 59, hit, 17 carries + targets
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 87, hit, 13 carries + targets
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 64, hit, 14 carries + targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 110, missed, 23 carries + targets
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 129, missed, 22 carries + targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 121, missed, 30 carries + targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 60, hit, 12 carries + targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 119, missed, 30 carries + targets
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 96, hit, 21 carries + targets

Under hitMissedThe 100.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 47.5–114.7 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 100.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs running backs
NO allow 150.0 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 3rd most of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Under 100.5 with Young at quarterback: 31 of 41; with another CAR quarterback: 3 of 6
Carries + targets
Last 3: 21 carries + targets · 2026: 20.6 (8 games)
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 10% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN

Splits

Under 100.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Under 100.5 hit in 5 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Rush+Rec Yards: 38 in 9 carries + targets, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Under 100.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against NO on record

L10 · Under 100.5

Average: 86.2; −14.3 vs line
Median: 91.5; −9 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −138

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2953 books	—	4/10
−1903 books	—	5/10
−1253 books	—	6/10
−1213 books	−1202 books	6/10
—	—	6/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	6/10
+1153 books	—	6/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 100.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 100.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 100.5	Under 100.5
betPARX14 min ago	−121Best	−120Best
BetRivers14 min ago	−121Best	−120Best
Bally Bet14 min ago	−121Best	—

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

100.5

104.5 → 100.5 since first seen