Chuba Hubbard

Carolina Panthers · RB · #30

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under17.5

Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1093 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at TB, 2026-01-03: 5, hit, 5 carries
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 13, hit, 13 carries
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 10, hit, 10 carries
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 12, hit, 12 carries
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 19, missed, 19 carries
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 20, missed, 20 carries
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 28, missed, 28 carries
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 7, hit, 7 carries
at GB, 2026-10-29: 22, missed, 22 carries
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 16, hit, 16 carries

Under hitMissedThe 17.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 5.7–23.3 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Under 17.5 with Young at quarterback: 30 of 41; with another CAR quarterback: 3 of 6
Defense vs running backs
NO allow 24.4 carries a game to running backs: 7th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 15 carries · 2026: 16.8 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN

Splits

Under 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Under 17.5 hit in 4 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Rushing Attempts: 8 in 8 carries, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Under 17.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against NO on record

L10 · Under 17.5

Average: 15.2; −2.3 vs line
Median: 14.5; −3 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −109
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −116

Research, not a pick. At −109 the price beats our fair −116, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14303 books	—	3/10
−5003 books	—	5/10
−2403 books	—	5/10
−1343 books	−1091 book	6/10
+1303 books	—	7/10
+2203 books	—	8/10
+3603 books	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 17.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 17.5	Under 17.5
betPARX14 min ago	−134Best	−109Best
Bally Bet14 min ago	−134Best	—
BetRivers14 min ago	−134Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

−115 → −109 since first seen