Christian Watson
MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 73.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 73.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 73.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Jordan Love led GB in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 73.5 with Love at quarterback: 11 of 37; with another GB quarterback: 1 of 3
Defense vs wide receivers
MIN allow 119.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 29th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 8.7 targets · 2026: 8.2 (9 games)
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 22% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at NE
Splits
Over 73.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs MIN
Receiving Yards: 147 in 8 targets, Sep 13 (away)
Over 73.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 73.5
- Average
- 91.5
- +18 vs line
- Median
- 80
- +6.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 8.1
- 10 games · 5.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 73.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3454 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2154 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1394 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 5/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1152 books | 5/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 5/10 | |
| +1064 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 73.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 73.5 | Under 73.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
73.5No move since first seen