Christian Watson
MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Jordan Love led GB in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 0.5 with Love at quarterback: 14 of 37; with another GB quarterback: 1 of 3
Carries + targets
Last 3: 8.7 carries + targets · 2026: 8.2 (9 games)
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 22% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at NE
Game lines
GB −3 · total 42 (8 sportsbooks)
GB's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (9 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs MIN
Total Touchdowns: 2 in 8 carries + targets, Sep 13 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 43%
- at +133
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 8.1
- 10 games · 5.7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1335 books | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +9505 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +50004 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | +150Best | — |
| Bovada8 min ago | +145 | — |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | +133 | — |
| betPARX8 min ago | +133 | — |
| BetRivers8 min ago | +133 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: +140 → +133 since first seen